I have just accepted a new position as Secretary of eGroup.asn.au.   eGroup is a cooperative of Internet entrepreneurs in Western Australia.

The creative energy and ideas flowing from the new committee are really exciting and it is exactly what one hopes for when people talk about finding “synergy”.

We have secured a presentation for this months meeting by Kris Borgraeve, a TV news journalist who now applies his craft to Internet. He is an expert on the production and application of professional multi-media content for the Internet.   I have suggested all eGroup members leverage this opportunity to invite other  Internet entrepreneurs to this event.  I have used Kris to produce a number of articles for my projects and his work is the best in this field.  Nothing has more impact for a website that a professional crafted, short-n-punchy high-definition video with a balanced counterpoint from an independent news journalist.  This is an event not to be missed.

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I was just interviewed by a business journalist for a story on the rapid growth of data centres. In my opinion he was missing the point.

It is not about investment in data centres but about density of compute power and the software running on it. The last batch of servers we purchased for GoPC.net and Central Data Systems are a quantum more powerful than the previous generation only 2 year ago. A typical machine has 256 GB – 512 GB of RAM and 36 – 48 CPU cores within just 2 rack units (9 cm). We shrank 5 racks of servers and filled only part of one of these machines. We also set up 100 TB of storage in 4 rack units.  We will expand to over 1 petabyte of storage and with very high IOPS (input/output operations which are critical to service high performance systems).

Whilst some are investing to build data centres I believe they are missing the mark. It is those who control the compute cloud who really hold the market opportunity. This is all about the technology, both the Intellectual Property and knowhow.  It is not about investing in airconditioned rooms and selling a square metre of floor space any longer.

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Some clear direct advice to help me with pitching in Silicon Valley from Mr Walter Newman that are worth immortalising

Short is good.
Long is bad.
When long seems good, its bad.
When short seems bad, its good.

Walter is a highly decorated WWII veteran (including the Chevalier de la Legion d’Honneur), a leading San Francisco businessman and city councellor, philanthropist, community leader and friend.  I regularly walk with Walter through the Presideo on Sunday mornings along with his son John Newman, Ben Lyon, Edgar Stone, Dianne, cousin Geoff, and other family friends.

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I have just ticked off the last and only real entry that has even been on my bucket list. It has been sitting there waiting a long time – since I was 16 years old and the boys who lived over the road sailed their little VJ skiff across 19km of open ocean one morning from our coastline to Rottnest Island.

On 18th December 2011, I did an epic kitesurf race across the same 19km of open ocean from Rottnest Island to Leighton Beach Fremantle.  To add some spice these waters really are shark infested with white pointers, tiger and bull sharks. Three people were tragicaly killed in separate shark attacks on our local coastline at at Rottnest in October so these are not waters I feel particularly comfortable in.  But this was my dream since taking up kitesurfing years ago.  With 100 starters and very light winds, nobody was working harder than I was to keep generating power from the kite and keep my board alfoat.  I had the smallest kite in the fleet, an 8m Airrush Lithium.  I was expecting it to pick up to 25-30 knotts but it barely reached 15, boardline for even keeping a kite in the air.

It was an incredible event and so well organised by WAKSA (Western Australian Kitesurfing Association) with sponsorship by RedBull.   I discovered that those ships we see sitting on horizon half way to Rottnest are in fact only 1/4 of the distance across. It is a very long way!  From Rottnest you can barely see them at all.

 

 

100 kitesurfers on Rottnest Island start to race the 19km of open ocean to the mainland

 

I am very proud that I made the whole distance.  At one stage it looked like I could not avoid one of the large ships who’s wind shadow would have ended my race.  I managed to just generate enough lift to cross over in front of its nose.  At that point 3/4 of the distance done, I knew I could finish the race and in fact the seabreeze picked up a couple of notches on the last 3km from shore.

 

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The moment after something new is invented and people see it, its obvious to everyone and seems as though it was always there.

I met a very intelligent eBusiness entrepreneur on Friday who had not heard of the concept of a virtual PC desktop or cloud computing before.  He told me, with some consideration, that it might start to catch on in about 2-3 years time.   Gartner Research predict the virtual PC desktop industry will be worth $65billion in 3 years time representing 40% of the professional desktop market.

I’m now pitching for our next investment round in GoPC.net (early expansion stage).    When I raised our first external investment round in 2007 the concept of a virtual PC desktop was, for most of the savvy investors I pitched too, completely intangible.  We raised the round it but it was a lot harder than I expected.  I’ve since seen many Web2.0 pitches in Silicon Valley and I understand how investors find these businesses so unquantifiable and risky.

It frustrates me when people think of GoPC.net as a vague, emerging, intangible technology.   So our new pitch now is based on hard physical demonstrable facts.    It leads with a case example from one of our enterprise customers this year who reduced a $600,000 IT upgrade to a mere $30,000 representing 95% cost saving.   GoPC.net is a physical infrastructure replacement.  It’s tangible, the customers are real and they are saving a fortune.    There’s also an adjunct business opportunity for GoPC.net’s Channel Partners.  In this case example, the implementation and migration project for our partner netted them $70,000 revenue in the first 6 months.  From now on anything that customer does will involve GoPC.net and the channel partner.   So its extremely tangible and the funding raised from this next round is to drive growth through sales.

We are now making extensive use of video to make complex concepts visual.  And we use live case studies to show how physically real it is.  It’s a simple subscription revenue model that replaces a business IT infrastructure for 1/10th of the cost, 1/10th of the logistics and 1/10th of the support ongoing.   In the case of GoPC.net, the Cloud Platforms and AppStores draw market share away from Microsoft and hardware.   It’s a physical business that we’ve managed to virtualize.

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Here is a video newsreel taken last week about cloud computing by TheMultiMediaInstitute.  Kris Bogaeves and Els van de Veire are a TV news anchor and producer/journalist from Belgium.  Their story was researching cloud computing and the sweeping changes it is bringing to both the business world and to individual personal computing.

Full credit to them, as they condensed 6 hours of interviews and filming into a very crisp 2 minute summary of where cloud computing is heading today.

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For several years I’ve read the marketing spin put out by company’s  about their cloud offering being the worlds first Online PC, Virtual PC or such.

The fact is that many company’s have been doing this for almost 2 decades.  We’ve certainly been doing it since 1995 and we were not the first.   Online Microsoft PC desktops became core Microsoft in 1997 when they purchased the rights to Citrix technology and re-branded it as Microsoft Terminal Server.  It’s definitely not new.

The emerging cloud platform industry is actually leapfrogging this model now.

I’m well aware of the market adoption of virtualization technologies like VMWare, Xen, KVM, et al, but the future is definitely not highly scalable if you’re going to virtualize a full PC desktop or server environment for every individual user.  That only perpetuates the old paradigm that a user must have a normal full PC operating system virtualized in a data centre.  At least 95% of the code will never be used and there is no shared resources such as memory or CPU.   It becomes impractical to run even 20 concurrent active users on a single CPU server.

The future of cloud platforms hosting Desktop-as-a-Service (DaaS) is that they have to split up individual user processes and deliver these as services, not fully virtualized Microsoft operating systems.   The reward for splitting these into individual service components is that it can then scale perhaps 100x more than if just using standard virtualization.  That becomes very exciting.   This models in part the old mainframe style of sharing an individual program and memory space with multiple users.   It is in fact the only way that things can truly be scaled significantly.   It is not only possible to do this, the mainframe world and supercomputing world have developed exactly this over many decades.

We refer to is as a Para-Virtualized environments being that a Users total environment and individual running programs may be distributed across an array of servers and then delivered as one combined solution.

So if a vendor claims to have created the Worlds First Online PC then it is just sales talk.    Virtualizing the PC operating system that you already use is really not going to change the world and instead just perpetuates an out-of-date model.

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There has been an exponential explosion in the term “cloud computing”.  Today it is so overused that its really just representative of the entire IT industry.   But where did it suddenly get traction?

On 28th Feb 2008 a team of 7 journalists took to the stage at the Westin St Francis Hotel in San Francisco.  They hated the term SaaS (Software-as-a-Service) and challenged the 500 industry delegates at the conference to brainstorm for a better alternative.  “Cloud Computing” was just one of a dozen terms voted on but there was no consensus.

It was however a term we had used for several years internally and I decided to adopt it for our owncompany.  During the next 4 months I put 2x of our staff on dominating this name space across the Internet.  It wasn’t hard to do as nobody was using the term.   I’m not sure we did a great job of it but by June 2008, my Co-Director Aidan Montague thought I had made a mistake and had wasted precious time.  Hardly anybody was  searching on the term “cloud computing”.  He thought I had made a wrong call.

But there had been some mild adoption of the term in some circles.  In June 2008 we saw the first “cloud computing” conference hosted by VLAB at Stanford University.  As I was driving down 101 on the way to Stanford  I had a call from a journalist from the West Australian Newspaper asking me what was cloud computing.   Then over the next 2 months the growth in the term became exponential.  I returned to Australia briefly and heard the News Radio do a 50 minute special on Cloud Computing.  By September every major in the IT industry had commented or stated they also had a Cloud Strategy.  Yet speak to most industry people and they really had little understanding of what the term meant.

I could see we were well ahead of the curve because we had used virtualization extensively in various forms for 8 years, virtualizing the desktop, virtualizing the server, and virtualizing the corporate network within the cloud.  Our issue had always been that nobody understood what we were talking about or it simply had no credibility.  Suddenly this all turning 180 degrees overnight.    I could see the rate in uptake of the term was growing so rapidly that within a few months it would become overused and meaningless.  And this is exactly what happened.  We were early in our decision to differentiate ourselves quickly and so morphed our language into representing GoPC.net as a Cloud Platform.

The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) hit in Oct 2008.   General Electric announced they were moving to a cloud solution.  Analysts observed the GFC would probably drive adoption of Cloud as businesses looked for cheaper solutions.  The Cloud, it was said, would be the big winner.

By Christmas 2008, every significant IT organization in the world had a Cloud Computing strategy, and this now included Microsoft.

It was truly amazing to watch.   It was like being in a land grab during a gold rush.  I felt like we had been the first ones to peg our claim but talking about cloud computing then had very few listeners.  Within months, what we had been creating for years, had suddenly become mainstream and very credible.  It had become the main thrust of the entire IT industry.

Today, May 2010, it is coming up to 2 years since the Clouds “Big Bang” explosion began.   It is still creating a new universe and this is changing everything within our $1 trillion industry.   Analysts like Gartner predict the new industry will be $167 billion by 2012.  Hosted Virtual Desktops will be a $65.7 billion industry by 2013.  The numbers are staggering.  It’s a total disruption to the existing supply chains and support channels that make up the bulk of our industry.   I’m comfortable saying that GoPC.net will be part of this.  We’re on a rising tide and we have built an incredibly resilient technology platform that will keep evolving at the front edge of cloud innovation.  We simply have to keep adopting the best of the best technology coming available.   The Big Bang sweeping change throughout the IT  industry will be difficult because people resist change, but there are new opportunities opening everywhere as well.

More about those opportunities in my following posts.

I studied Physics at University but ended up in Chemistry and later Computer Science.   My passion is still Physics, in particular Astrophysics.

I started Central Data Systems in 1982 and built this into a successful mid-sized IT consultancy in Perth, Western Australia.

In 1995 my view was that the Internet had plateaued.   A number of ISP’s were created by people I had worked with and a couple of these became remarkably large.   The ISPs burden was supporting customers PC’s which they had no visibility of.   When Citrix released Winframe 1.6 I saw an opportunity to create a kind of “Microsoft Mainframe” which could be housed inside the ISP.   The idea was that all the customer programs and data would run on the mainframe where we could support it easily and relieve the main cost burden for the ISP – support.   The benefit to the customers were enormous.    I fell in love with the idea and just had to do it.

I couldn’t afford to buy an ISP so had to build one myself.  A few weekends later and with guidance from a friend, Mark Dignan (Digger), we were operational on Slackware Linux.    The business worked.   By 1999 we had grown to a private network spanning Australia with many business customers running off our Citrix/Microsoft server farm.

On a trip to London in Dec 1999 was reading an IT magazine and came across a new term I had never heard of before.  ASP (Application Service Providers).   The industry analysts had coined a term that described exactly what we had been doing for the last 4 years.  I knew it was a great idea but was still surprised to see just how strongly the analysts approved of it.

We looked at floating the company with the support of one of our major customers.   Fortunately the Dot.Com crash occurred before we got it away and I was left with my company intact.  In fact we thrived during the Dot.Com crash because the ASP idea was so strong and we had real revenue and solid customers.  I believe the analysts missed the sweet spot which was actually the intersection of  (i) providing the server infrastructure,  (ii) providing the computer network and (iii) providing the application software.   It was the vertical integration of all technical levels which allowed us to survive and thrive.

We brought forward all the lessons we had learned into the next generation and started creating a new ASP infrastructure that would eliminate all the software license costs which had outpriced us from most of our intended market.   By 2002 I had seen one of our competitors raise and spend $37 million before folding.   We had leveraged different technology and achieved far more functionality even though we were running off the smell of an oily rag.   I think back now what would have happened if we had raised millions at this time and I’m sure most of it would have been wasted.  There’s nothing that drives efficient innovation more than limited resources.  We called it “Linframe” a play on words combining Linux with Metaframe.

In Dec 2004 we went live with our GoPC,  a Virtual PC (a virtualized desktop infrastructure plus a lot more backend systems running from our data centre) with several trial customers.  My view had always been focused on enterprise and government.   We re-branded Linframe as GoPC.net.   In 2005 during a trip to China the penny dropped and I realized the potential for GoPC.net as a consumer product.   We could actually export to the Chinese – it was quite an exciting idea.

In mid 2005 we spun GoPC.net off from Central Data Systems into its own entity and since then it has taken on a life of its own and become an adventure I would never have dared to even dream of.

In late 2007 I moved to Silicon Valley and now split my time between San Francisco USA,  Perth Australia, and the United Kingdom.

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